FanBoardHQ

Texas Tech

Texas Tech University · 2022 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#20
Efficiency
+10.1
27th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
5-4
Conf. finish
4th
of 10
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Texas Tech went 8-5 and was ranked 20th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 33rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 37th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 91st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 13th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-2
Q2
3-3
Q3
2-0
Q4
1-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
20th
+0.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
13th
full season
13th
CFP committee
Unranked
FanBoardHQ has them 6 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
30th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Murray StateOVCW 6310+50.1100%8.3Q4
2vs HoustonAmerican Athletic#55W 3330+9.6100%1.2Q3
3@ NC StateACC#36L 1427+1.20%-3.5Q2
4vs TexasBig 12#17W 3734-7.2100%21.4Q1
5@ Kansas StateBig 12#7L 2837-11.30%9.5Q1
6@ Oklahoma StateBig 12#40L 3141+1.40%-0.8Q2
8vs West VirginiaBig 12#63W 4810+8.7100%33.7Q3
9vs BaylorBig 12#54L 1745+4.50%-13.2Q2
10@ TCUBig 12#2L 2434-10.90%7.9Q1
11vs KansasBig 12#49W 4328+5.8100%17.7Q2
12@ Iowa StateBig 12#70W 1410-1.4100%13.5Q2
13vs OklahomaBig 12#48W 5148+2.5100%8.7Q2
Postseason
vs Ole MissSEC#23W 4225-1.5100%25.9Q1

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Texas Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-9.4+10.3+30.081-42110-134-13818149Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 91st
SR 78thYPP 74thEPA 103rd
RushingEff 13th
SR 21stYPP 36thEPA 2nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 40th
SR 23rdYPP 59thEPA 42nd
Rush defenseEff 19th
SR 28thYPP 34thEPA 15th
Dropback rate 57%Tempo +14.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 57th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 37%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 89.0Q1 · Allowed: 83.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 133.0Q2 · Allowed: 81.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 90.0Q3 · Allowed: 62.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 122.0Q4 · Allowed: 127.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTexas TechOffenseDefense
Texas Tech Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 37th
+4.5
Field position: +1.6Finishing drives: +2.9
Field position +1.6Finishing drives +2.9= +4.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 15th · Finishing 43rd

Defensive EffRanked 33rd
+4.8
Field position: -0.6Finishing drives: +5.4
Field position -0.6Finishing drives +5.4= +4.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 86th · Finishing 23rd

2.44 points per drive on offense, 2.02 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(251)58% / 42%41%5.7
Q2(281)56% / 44%44%5.8
Q3(236)56% / 44%47%5.5
Q4(292)54% / 46%38%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(255)10.042%6.4
2nd(199)9.142%6.3
3rd(115)9.226%5.3
4th(26)6.158%4.7
All (595)39%6.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)9.838%5.1
2nd(140)6.649%5.1
3rd(92)5.553%5.9
4th(27)2.663%2.2
All (465)46%5.1

Texas Tech, all games.